Saturday, December 17, 2011

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According to Customs data, in November 2011, the monthly trade surplus of 14.52 billion U.S. dollars, narrowed 34.9%. Reported $ 14.5 billion trade surplus, compared with last month there have been approximately $ 2.5 billion decline.
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"Further narrow the trade surplus may prompt the central bank again lowered deposit reserve ratio." Wang Tao, chief economist at UBS Securities that are expected as the recession in the euro area, China's exports will significantly deteriorate, the first quarter of the year 2012 down. As the Spring Festival holiday and the delivery time earlier, the performance of foreign trade data will make the end of tough, there may be certain deceptive, but also makes the early 2012's foreign trade data was weaker than market expectations.
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But not all bad news, commodity imports stronger than expected, the amount of imports in November year on year growth from 28.7% in October slowed slightly to 22%, crude oil, iron ore and copper, and did not think the market is so weak. "The most important, accounting for the other half of the imports of investment goods and commodities, while imports will be subject to commodity price correction and domestic policy support." Tao Wang added.

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