Saturday, December 17, 2011

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State Administration of Foreign Exchange issued by banks on exchange settlement and sales data, seems to show a cross-border capital outflow from China tend to increase. Valet exchange settlement bank in October surplus of only $ 3.2 billion, a record low since the data is released. Exchange earnings from foreign exchange rate in October 61.7%, much lower than the first nine months of data, also hit a new low this year.
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But Bin believes that we are a relatively closed market, large-scale withdrawal of hot money will not occur. Once the slowdown in financial market turmoil, China's economy is relatively strong economic fundamentals, and gradual appreciation of the RMB static strategies will stimulate massive hot money into China again.
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At the same time, the dollar's hot, but the pressure of foreign exchange, while reducing, to help reduce foreign exchange reserves continued to grow this difficult problem, but also for monetary policy maneuvers of more space. The current money supply in the bottom of history, of which only 12.7% of M2 growth has been lower than in October 2001 of 12.9%, a continuous monthly record the lowest ever recorded level, M1 growth rate of 7.8% in February 2009 Minimum 34 months since, the market liquidity bottlenecks.

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